Match Info

Stars League - Round 36

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Diyala		Amanat Baghdad

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.45
	1.95	3.1	3.45
	2.01	3.16	3.59	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	1.92	3.16	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.95)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	3.53 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
45.6%

Draw
28.9%

Amanat Baghdad
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Amanat Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Diyala - Amanat Baghdad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Falah M. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Kareem J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 3, Abdel Amir M. ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, Mohammed Jasim (Own goal),
72', 1 - 4, Bobojonov M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation)).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Diyala could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diyala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
15.05.26	Diyala - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Zakho - Diyala	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Diyala	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Diyala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTLL
- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
15.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Kahraba	0:1 ✺
11.05.26	Al-Karkh - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Najaf - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
13.09.25	Amanat Baghdad - Diyala	1:2

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