Match Info

Stars League - Round 33

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Gharraf		Diyala

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.82	3.05
	2.31	2.91	2.99
	2.39	2.82	3.12	Watch
	2.4	2.7	2.9
	2.35	2.86	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.47)	2.82 ↓ (2.85)	3.02 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharraf
38.2%

Draw
32%

Diyala
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

32.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

33.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharraf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Diyala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Al Gharraf - Diyala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Abd A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Gharraf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Gharraf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
02.05.26	Al Mosul - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Minaa	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Duhok - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Talaba	1:3 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Gharraf	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLW
- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
01.05.26	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Diyala	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Diyala - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Karkh - Diyala	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Diyala - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
22.01.26	Diyala - Al-Gharraf	1:1

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