Match Info

Stars League - Round 35

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Diyala		Al-Shorta Baghdad

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.55	1.58
	4.76	3.56	1.61
	4.84	3.83	1.6	Watch
	5	3.3	1.6
	5.08	3.64	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.89)	3.58 ↑ (3.38)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
18.3%

Draw
25.2%

Al-Shorta Baghdad
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

27.1%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

26.6%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Diyala aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Diyala - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Farhan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Ali H. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2).

Diyala has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Shorta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Al-Shorta is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Shorta	8	4	3	1	9:4	5	15
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
11.05.26	Zakho - Diyala	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Diyala	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Diyala	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Diyala - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLLW
- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
10.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Newroz - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Qasim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.02.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	2:1
18.05.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Diyala	1:0
26.09.24	Diyala - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:6

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