Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 26

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Gent		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.35	3.4	2.92	Watch
	2.34	3.47	3.16
	2.28	3.48	3.06	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.29	3.48	3.09	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	3 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
41.5%

Draw
27.2%

Cercle Brugge
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	4.3%	21.7%

Gent - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Gent (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Gent (1.69) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 4 - 80%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 57. Volckaert M. 3. Paskotsi M. 20. Araujo T. 15. Ito A. 22. Lopes L. 8. Skoras M. 37. Kadri A. 11. Sonko M. 21. Dean M.	1. Warleson (G) 15. Magnee G. 5. Kakou E. 66. Ravych C. 20. Nazinho 6. Agyekum L. 18. Gerkens P. 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 37. Diop E. 13. Vanzeir D. 17. Adewumi O.
Substitutes
27. De Vlieger T. 19. Diop M. 28. El Adfaoui M. 25. Essaouabi H. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 7. Kanga W. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 44. Van Der Heyden S.	21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 19. Diaby I. 2. Diakite I. 11. Herrmann C. 23. Jurado H. 24. Kondo G. 9. Ngoura S. 12. Valy K.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Cinel O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Nazinho 🟨,
33', Paskotsi M. ↓, Essaouabi H. ↑,
45+1', 0 - 1, Vanzeir D. ⚽, Nazinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hashioka D. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
52', Essaouabi H. 🟥,
54', Sonko M. ↓, Van Der Heyden S. ↑,
54', Agyekum L. ↓, Herrmann C. ↑,
58', Kakou E. 🟨,
62', Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Kadri A. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
77', Ito A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
82', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
85', Diaby I. 🟨,
86', Diop E. 🟨,
88', Diop E. ↓, Valy K. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 2.

Gent is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cercle Brugge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 41:32. (average 2.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
17	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	0	3	5	9:16	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.02.26	Charleroi - Gent	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	RAAL La Louvière - Gent	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Standard Liège - Gent	0:4 ✺
18.01.26	Gent - Anderlecht	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLTWW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.02.26	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	3:4 ✺
31.01.26	Cercle Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:4 ✺
25.01.26	Genk - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Westerlo - Cercle Brugge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	1:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:4
15.12.24	Gent - Cercle Brugge	1:1
26.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:1
11.02.24	Gent - Cercle Brugge	1:2
22.10.23	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:0
20.05.23	Gent - Cercle Brugge	2:2

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