Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Ghelamco Arena (Gent)

Referee: Kastrati V. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Gent		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	11
	1.29	5.25	10
	1.32	5.25	9.8
	1.29	5.2	9.8
	1.28	5.55	10.95
	1.28	5.25	10.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	5.29 ↑ (5)	10.3 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
73%

Draw
17.8%

Shamrock Rovers
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

18.6%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

10.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-33.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shamrock Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	16.1%	16.1%

Gent - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). Shamrock will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gent has currently - 1, has a good chance of 1st (53%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a small chance of 3rd (13%), has a good chance of round of 16 (68%), has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Shamrock has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (3%), has a chance of 3rd (16%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 55, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Gent is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shamrock is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shamrock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gent is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Gent: De Sart J. (Muscle Injury) Owusu E. (Injury) Tissoudali T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Gent: Fortuna N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Shamrock: Towell R. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.09.22	Gent - Zulte Waregem	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Molde - Gent	0:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.09.22	Charleroi - Gent	2:1 ✺
01.09.22	Anderlecht - Gent	0:1 ✺
28.08.22	Gent - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLWL
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
11.09.22	Shamrock Rovers - Finn Harps	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Shamrock Rovers - Djurgården	0:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
02.09.22	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
28.08.22	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ET ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Shamrock Rovers - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLWW

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