Match Info
Jupiler Pro League - Round 27Date: 1 March 2026, SundayLocation: Cegeka Arena (Genk)Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
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Genk |
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Gent |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Genk
51.7% | Draw
24.9% | Gent
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Gent will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Genk (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Gent (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gent (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
26.  Lawal T. (G)
77.  El Ouahdi Z.
3.  Sadick M.
6.  Smets M.
18.  Kayembe J.
24. Sattlberger N.
8. Heynen B. (C)
38. Heymans D.
7. Steuckers J.
29. Mirisola R.
32. Adedeji-Sternberg N.
| 33. Roef D. (C)
4.  Hashioka D.
57. Volckaert M.
44. Van Der Heyden S.
20.  Araujo T.
15. Ito A.
22. Lopes L.
11.  Sonko M.
37.  Kadri A.
8.  Skoras M.
7.  Kanga W.
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| Substitutes |
21.  Bangoura I.
23.  Bibout A.
10. Ito J.
20.  Karetsas K.
19.  Medina Y.
27. Nkuba K.
34.  Palacios A.
14.  Sor Y.
1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
| 21.  Dean M.
35. De Meyer G.
27. De Vlieger T.
19.  Diop M.
29.  Duverne J.
25. Essaouabi H.
24.  Hong Hyun-Seok
10.  Omgba A.
30. Peersman K. (G)
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| Coaches |
Hayen N.
| De Mil R.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽, Heynen B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
- 57', Kadri A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
- 57', Ito A. ↓, De Vlieger T. ↑,
- 57', Sonko M. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 73', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 73', Steuckers J. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 73', Sattlberger N. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
- 73', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
- 74', Lopes L. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 83', Hashioka D. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
- 85', Ito J. 🟨,
- 89', Heymans D. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
- 90', Heynen B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Sor Y. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Genk is considered a favorite.There will not play in Genk: Karetsas K.
(Concussion)
Kongolo J.
(Knock)There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M.
(Ankle Injury)
Essaouabi H.
(Red Card)
Goore H.
(Muscle Injury)
Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)There are questionable in Gent: Ayinde A.
(Injury)
Paskotsi M.
(Muscle Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
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| 9 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Belgian Jupiler Pro League | | | 09.11.25 | Gent - Genk | 1:1 | | 18.05.25 | Gent - Genk | 1:4 | | 30.03.25 | Genk - Gent | 4:0 | | 23.02.25 | Genk - Gent | 0:0 | | 27.10.24 | Gent - Genk | 0:2 | | 02.06.24 | Genk - Gent | 0:1 | | 03.12.23 | Genk - Gent | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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