Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday

Location: Tele2 Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Djurgården		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.42	4.5	7
	1.42	4.8	7.5
	1.43	4.5	6.6
	1.46	4.71	7.19
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.41	4.6	6.95
	1.45	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.3)	4.58 ↓ (5)	7.03 ↓ (8.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djurgården
66%

Draw
20.6%

Shamrock Rovers
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

18.4%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

17.7%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Djurgården, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.3%	9.8%	22%

Djurgården - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). Shamrock will win (votes: 9 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 54.1% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Djurgården has currently - 13, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Shamrock has currently - 2, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 28, very small importance 0, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Djurgården is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shamrock is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Djurgården could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shamrock have a series of home games.

In this match Djurgården is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Djurgården: Kack E. (Injury) Vasyutin A. (Injury)

There will not play in Shamrock: Ferizaj J. (Red Card) Kavanagh S. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Shamrock: Greene A. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Djurgården to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Djurgården won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.10.22	Norrköping - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.10.22	Molde - Djurgården	2:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.10.22	Djurgården - Sundsvall	4:0 ✺
20.10.22	Malmö - Djurgården	2:3 ✺
16.10.22	Djurgården - AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWL
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
30.10.22	Shamrock Rovers - Derry City	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.10.22	Shamrock Rovers - Gent	1:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
21.10.22	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	4:1 ✺
16.10.22	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Shamrock Rovers - Molde	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Shamrock Rovers - Djurgården	0:0

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