Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Shamrock Rovers		Gent

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.53
	6	4	1.52
	6.5	4.2	1.52
	6	4.1	1.52
	6.56	4.22	1.54
	6.2	4.2	1.49
	6.2	4.3	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.28 ↑ (4.99)	4.17 ↑ (3.78)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
15.1%

Draw
22.7%

Gent
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.8%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

23%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.7%	5.1%	71.2%

Shamrock Rovers - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 14 - 23.7%). Gent will win (votes: 42 - 71.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 59.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Shamrock has currently - 1, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a very small chance of 3rd (2%), has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Gent has currently - 4, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a good chance of 3rd (65%), has a chance of knockout phase (34%), has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 40, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Shamrock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gent is a favorite.

There will not play in Gent: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) De Sart J. (Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Injury) Lemajic D. (Injury) Owusu E. (Injury) Tissoudali T. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shamrock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
21.10.22	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	4:1 ✺
16.10.22	Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Shamrock Rovers - Molde	0:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
09.10.22	Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	Molde - Shamrock Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLWL
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.10.22	Gent - Seraing	2:1 ✺
19.10.22	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Gent - KV Mechelen	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Djurgården - Gent	4:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.10.22	Eupen - Gent	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Gent - Shamrock Rovers	3:0

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