Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 26

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Dnipro-Arena (Dnipro)

Referee: Ivanov Y. (Ukr)


	Dnipro-1		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.8
	4	3.3	1.95
	4.73	3.55	1.83
	4.73	3.55	1.79
	4	3.4	1.8
	4.83	3.6	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.44)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	1.83 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
21.4%

Draw
27.1%

Dynamo Kyiv
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

27.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dnipro-1's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Kyiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dnipro-1, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dnipro 1 - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volynets Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 42. Pasich Y. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 17. Lednev B. 27. Ocheretko O. 9. Gutsulyak O.	1. Bushchan G. (G) 24. Tymchyk O. 4. Popov D. 32. Mykhavko T. 2. Vivcharenko K. 18. Andriyevski O. 7. Yarmolenko A. 10. Shaparenko M. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 22. Kabaev V. 11. Vanat V.
Substitutes
4. Avramenko O. 14. Gadzhyev R. 20. Gorbunov S. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 31. Kivinda D. 29. Melnychenko M. 34. Tanchyk V. 33. Yurchuk V. (G)	6. Brazhko V. 44. Dubinchak V. 25. Dyachuk M. 20. Karavaev O. 23. Malysh N. 51. Morgun V. (G) 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 8. Shepelev V. 21. Supryaga V. 34. Syrota O. 37. Tsarenko A. 9. Voloshyn N.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Shovkovsky O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 2.

Recent matches Dnipro-1 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dnipro-1 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dnipro-1 have a series of guest games.

In this match Dynamo is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnipro-1 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
21.04.24	Veres Rivne - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TTTWT
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
21.04.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:0 ✺
17.04.24	Mynai - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	Oleksandriya - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 ✺
08.04.24	Dynamo Kyiv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1 ✺
04.04.24	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
22.10.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	0:1
12.03.23	Dnipro-1 - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1
28.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	0:3
24.10.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	2:0
10.04.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	2:0
31.10.20	Dnipro-1 - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2
28.02.20	Dnipro-1 - Dynamo Kyiv	3:1

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