Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 27

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Dnipro-Arena (Dnipro)

Referee: Omelchenko A. (Ukr)


	Dnipro-1		Kryvbas

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.55	3.2	2.75
	2.67	2.99	2.83
	2.67	3.12	2.82
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.8	3.15	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.19)	3.13 ↓ (3.24)	2.76 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
36.1%

Draw
30%

Kryvbas
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dnipro-1's form might have worsened.

Kryvbas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dnipro-1, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Dnipro 1 - Kryvbas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kryvbas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volynets Y. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 3. Adamyuk V. 39. Svatok O. (C) 42. Pasich Y. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 14. Gadzhyev R. 17. Lednev B. 27. Ocheretko O. 31. Kivinda D.	30. Makhankov V. (G) 25. Bandeira 39. Saintini N. 5. Stetskov T. 55. Dibango I. 8. Bizimana D. 10. Khomchenovskyi D. (C) 21. Kuzyk D. 14. Lunyov M. 94. Zaderaka M. 78. Kozhushko O.
Substitutes
4. Avramenko O. 7. Filippov O. 20. Gorbunov S. 83. Khan D. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 25. Kogut I. 32. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 29. Melnychenko M. 34. Tanchyk V. 10. Tretyakov M.	13. Beskorovaynyi D. 99. Bliznichenko V. 27. Debelko R. 1. Khoma B. (G) 43. Omelchenko I. (G) 97. Poe J. 7. Ponedelnik A. 2. Ryabov V. 9. Sosah D. 11. Tatarkov M. 47. Tverdokhlib Y. 45. Vilivald V.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Vernydub Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Lednev B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Gadzhyev R. ⚽, Rubchynskyi V. (A),
63', Kuzyk D. ↓, Ponedelnik A. ↑,
63', Zaderaka M. ↓, Sosah D. ↑,
63', Khomchenovskyi D. ↓, Tverdokhlib Y. ↑,
68', Saintini N. ↓, Beskorovaynyi D. ↑,
75', Gadzhyev R. ↓, Tretyakov M. ↑,
75', Kivinda D. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
76', Lunyov M. ↓, Tatarkov M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Dnipro-1 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kryvbas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnipro-1 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
27.04.24	Dnipro-1 - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Veres Rivne - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTTTW
- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
28.04.24	Kryvbas - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Kryvbas	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Rukh Lviv - Kryvbas	1:1 ✺
08.04.24	Kryvbas - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Veres Rivne - Kryvbas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
28.10.23	Kryvbas - Dnipro-1	3:0
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Dnipro-1 - Kryvbas	2:2
Ukrainian Premier League
04.06.23	Dnipro-1 - Kryvbas	1:0
28.11.22	Kryvbas - Dnipro-1	2:1

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