Match Info

efbet League - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Druzhba (Dobrich)

Referee: Popov N. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Dobrudzha Dobrich		Arda Kardzhali

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	3.45	3.1	2.08
	3.68	3.25	2.17
	3.54	3.16	2.11	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	2.09 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dobrudzha Dobrich
26.3%

Draw
29.4%

Arda Kardzhali
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.2%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dobrudzha Dobrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dobrudzha Dobrich - Arda Kardzhali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grigorov G. (G) 15. Kostov B. 6. Puerto A. 3. Pirgov D. (C) 77. Matheus Leoni 35. Lovric D. 20. Ramadan A. 8. Cardoso L. 82. Costa Silva T. 31. Dimitrov A. 7. Ivanov A.	1. Gospodinov A. (C) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 23. Viyachki E. 93. Eboa F. 35. Velkovski D. 4. Idowu D. 80. Kotev L. 10. Kovachev S. 71. Popov I. 99. Karagaren B. 9. Nikolov G.
Substitutes
9. Angelov M. 10. Appiah A. 1. Argilashki G. (G) 23. Fall M. 45. Hasan D. 88. Kolev K. 30. Kurtovic A. 98. Mihaylov I. 70. Stanev K.	8. Kabov A. 45. Mane I. 12. Nedelchev I. (G) 17. Patrick Luan 11. Shinyashiki A. 33. Tilev I. 21. Velev V. 39. Vutov A. 20. Yusein S.
Coaches
Atanasov A.	Tunchev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Karagaren B. ⚽, Gustavo Cascardo (A),
32', Nikolov G. 🟨,
45', Kostov B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kostov B. ↓, Mihaylov I. ↑,
46', Ramadan A. ↓, Angelov M. ↑,
46', Nikolov G. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
64', Matheus Leoni 🟨,
67', Popov I. ↓, Yusein S. ↑,
67', Karagaren B. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
67', Dimitrov A. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
76', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
76', Gustavo Cascardo ↓, Velev V. ↑,
78', Lovric D. ↓, Kolev K. ↑,
82', Kovachev S. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
82', Cardoso L. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
84', Pirgov D. 🟨,
90+2', Vutov A. 🟨,
90+5', Fall M. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Velev V. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Dobrudzha Dobrich has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dobrudzha Dobrich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arda has had a series of home games.

Arda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dobrudzha Dobrich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dobrudzha Dobrich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Parva Liga
29.09.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:2 ✺
15.09.25	Cherno More Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Montana - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Botev Vratsa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
18.09.25	Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Spartak Varna - Arda Kardzhali	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Arda Kardzhali - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.04.19	Arda Kardzhali - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0
21.10.18	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Arda Kardzhali	0:2

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