Match Info

efbet League - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Varna)

Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Spartak Varna		Arda Kardzhali

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.7	1.62	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.73
	5.15	3.55	1.62
	5.27	3.48	1.72
	5.34	3.02	1.81	Watch
	5.3	3.65	1.67	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.98)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
18.1%

Draw
26.7%

Arda Kardzhali
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

25.7%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

22.5%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Spartak Varna - Arda Kardzhali Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arda will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Kovalyov M. (G) 20. Lozev D. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 44. Granchov A. 2. Magdjinski L. (C) 88. Yordanov D. 17. Marinov T. 8. Ivanov D. 7. Berna 21. Xande 90. Stojanovski G.	1. Gospodinov A. (C) 2. Gustavo Cascardo 93. Eboa F. 23. Viyachki E. 21. Velev V. 20. Yusein S. 80. Kotev L. 10. Kovachev S. 39. Vutov A. 11. Shinyashiki A. 9. Nikolov G.
Substitutes
4. Aleksiev I. 50. Budinov I. 11. Georgiev A. 9. Halachev D. 13. Millimono T. 18. Moukachar S. 6. Pehlivanov Z. 1. Shalamanov-Trenkov I. (G) 19. Yanchev E.	18. Huseynov C. 4. Idowu D. 99. Karagaren B. 30. Kazakov I. 45. Mane I. 12. Nedelchev I. (G) 17. Patrick Luan 33. Tilev I. 35. Velkovski D.
Coaches
Hadzievski G.	Tunchev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Ivanov D. ⚽,
45+2', Viyachki E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Shinyashiki A. 🟨,
59', Shinyashiki A. ↓, Karagaren B. ↑,
59', Vutov A. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
66', Berna 🟨,
67', Nikolov G. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
70', Yordanov D. ↓, Yanchev E. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Berna ⚽, Kovalyov M. (A),
75', Yusein S. ↓, Tilev I. ↑,
75', Kovachev S. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
76', Velev V. 🟨,
81', Ivanov D. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
83', Lozev D. 🟨,
88', Berna ↓, Moukachar S. ↑,
88', Xande ↓, Halachev D. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Halachev D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Arda is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
30.08.25	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Spartak Varna - Cherno More Varna	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Levski Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT
- Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.08.25	Arda Kardzhali - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Arda Kardzhali - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.08.25	Slavia Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Raków Częstochowa - Arda Kardzhali	1:0 ✺
14.08.25	Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.02.25	Arda Kardzhali - Spartak Varna	2:2
16.08.24	Spartak Varna - Arda Kardzhali	1:0
06.03.23	Arda Kardzhali - Spartak Varna	2:0
20.08.22	Spartak Varna - Arda Kardzhali	1:3

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