Match Info

Bulgarian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Varna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 10


	Spartak Varna		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	4.05	1.41	Watch
	7.9	4.88	1.32
	7.93	4.89	1.32	Watch
	8	4.4	1.33
	6.92	4.15	1.4	Watch
	9.5	5.33	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.79 ↑ (3.38)	4.62 ↑ (3.13)	1.34 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
11.8%

Draw
19.9%

Botev Plovdiv
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29.4%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Varna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Spartak Varna (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 1 - 50%). Botev Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shalamanov-Trenkov I. (G) 4. Aleksiev I. 11. Georgiev A. 9. Halachev D. 8. Ivanov D. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. (C) 17. Marinov T. 18. Moukachar S. 93. Pahama N. 19. Yanchev E. 88. Yordanov D.	29. Naumov D. (G) 25. Abraham O. 38. Balogiannis K. 7. Iliev N. 22. Kwateng E. 30. Mascote 17. Minkov N. 8. Nedelev T. (C) 23. Okoflex A. 87. Petrov S. 4. Soldo N.
Substitutes
77. Aleksandrov A. 29. Johnson K. 23. Kovalyov M. (G) 39. Kurbanov K. 13. Millimono T. 6. Pehlivanov Z. 90. Stojanovski G. 21. Xande 22. Yanchev A.	90. Kalu S. 77. Lucas Araujo 9. Mitkov D. 2. Noga G. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 11. Tailson 10. Tales 13. Tsonov S. 42. Videv I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Abraham O. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Okoflex A. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Mascote ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aleksiev I. ↓, Xande ↑,
46', Mascote ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
46', Halachev D. ↓, Stojanovski G. ↑,
64', Iliev N. ↓, Kalu S. ↑,
71', Ivanov D. ↓, Pehlivanov Z. ↑,
82', Soldo N. ↓, Videv I. ↑,
82', Kwateng E. ↓, Lucas Araujo ↑,
87', Yordanov D. ↓, Yanchev A. ↑,
87', Okoflex A. ↓, Tailson ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 4.

Spartak Varna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Botev Plovdiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Botev Plovdiv is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.12.25	Spartak Varna - Levski Sofia	1:3 ✺
04.12.25	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Spartak Varna - CSKA Sofia	0:4 ✺
21.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.12.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:2 ✺
02.12.25	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Botev Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	3:2
18.05.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	2:1
04.05.25	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	3:2
15.02.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	1:0
24.08.24	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	0:1
Bulgarian Cup
27.02.24	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	2:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.04.23	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:1

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