Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 23

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Don Álvaro		Miajadas

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.45	3	2.45
	2.49	3	2.48
	2.59	3.18	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.78)	3.05 (3.05)	2.51 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
35.3%

Draw
29.2%

Miajadas
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Miajadas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miajadas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Don Álvaro - Miajadas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Don Álvaro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Miajadas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miajadas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.02.23	Moralo - Don Álvaro	4:0 ✺
19.02.23	Don Álvaro - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Trujillo - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Plasencia - Don Álvaro	4:1 ✺
29.01.23	Don Álvaro - Azuaga	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- CD Miajadas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.02.23	Miajadas - Azuaga	3:2 ✺
19.02.23	Llerenense - Miajadas	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Miajadas - La Estrella	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Olivenza - Miajadas	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Miajadas - Pueblonuevo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.22	Miajadas - Don Álvaro	0:1
13.03.22	Don Álvaro - Miajadas	0:1
07.11.21	Miajadas - Don Álvaro	1:0

Don Álvaro - Miajadas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide