Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Don Álvaro		Pueblonuevo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.55	3.1	2.6
	2.56	3.05	2.67
	2.56	2.88	2.68
	2.51	2.93	2.76
	2.55	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.22)	3.03 ↑ (2.88)	2.65 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
35.9%

Draw
29.9%

Pueblonuevo
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Don Álvaro's form might have worsened.

Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pueblonuevo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Recent matches Don Álvaro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pueblonuevo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Don Álvaro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.01.24	Racing Valverdeño - Don Álvaro	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Don Álvaro - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Don Álvaro - Fuente de Cantos	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Don Benito - Don Álvaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WTTLL
- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.01.24	Pueblonuevo - Arroyo	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Pueblonuevo - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Pueblonuevo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Jerez - Pueblonuevo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.04.23	Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo	2:1
18.12.22	Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro	2:0

Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide