Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 26

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Don Benito		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.25	2.8	3.25
	2.29	2.89	3.38
	2.19	3.04	3.32
	2.25	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.6)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)	3.23 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
40.6%

Draw
31.2%

Alcorcón B
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

33.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Don Benito's performance.

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Don Benito - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Don Benito is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcorcón B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Don Benito will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.03.23	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Don Benito - Montijo	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Coria - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Don Benito - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Don Benito - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TTWWT
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.03.23	Alcorcón B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Estepona - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Alcorcón B - Atlético Madrid B	3:3 ✺
19.02.23	Unión Adarve - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Alcorcón B - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.22	Alcorcón B - Don Benito	0:1

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