Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Don Benito		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.35	6.7
	1.51	3.52	7.03
	1.53	3.25	7
	1.48	3.42	7.47
	1.5	3.5	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	3.41 ↑ (3.36)	6.97 ↑ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
60.3%

Draw
26.6%

Montijo
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

26.9%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

25.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Don Benito - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Don Benito is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montijo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Don Benito is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Don Benito will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Don Benito won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Don Benito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montijo	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Don Benito - Moralo	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Diocesano - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Don Benito - Villafranca	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Don Benito - Jerez	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Santa Amalia - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWTW
- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Santa Amalia - Montijo	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Montijo - Azuaga	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gévora - Montijo	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Montijo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Montijo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.09.25	Montijo - Don Benito	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.03.23	Don Benito - Montijo	0:0
16.10.22	Montijo - Don Benito	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.04.22	Don Benito - Montijo	1:0
12.12.21	Montijo - Don Benito	3:1

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