Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Don Benito		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	1.98
	3.75	2.85	2.2
	3.5	3	2.04
	4.16	2.94	2.01
	3.98	2.9	2.04
	3.55	3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
24.3%

Draw
31.2%

Atlético Madrid B
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

32.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

32.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Don Benito - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Don Benito is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Madrid B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Madrid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Madrid B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Unión Adarve - Don Benito	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	CD Guadalajara - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Don Benito - Socuéllamos	0:2 ✺
17.12.22	Diocesano - Don Benito	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Don Benito - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Atlético Madrid B - Estepona	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Leganés B - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Atlético Madrid B - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.09.22	Atlético Madrid B - Don Benito	4:0

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