Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.3	3.15	2.05
	3.53	3.15	2.1
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.48	3.24	2.01
	3.3	3.2	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.02)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.04 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
26.8%

Draw
28.7%

Atlético Madrid B
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

28.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Adarve's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Adarve, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Madrid B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético Madrid B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.12.22	Unión Adarve - Leganés B	3:3 ✺
04.12.22	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Unión Adarve - Socuéllamos	3:2 ✺
20.11.22	Diocesano - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Unión Adarve - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWTL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.12.22	Atlético Madrid B - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Socuéllamos - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Atlético Madrid B - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Cacereño - Atlético Madrid B	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Atlético Madrid B - Villanovense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.01.19	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:0
26.08.18	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid B	1:1
14.01.18	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:1
27.08.17	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid B	2:2

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