Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Don Benito		Coria

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.98	3.07	3.55
	1.98	3.07	3.55
	1.95	3.24	3.56
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	3.53 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
45.7%

Draw
28.7%

Coria
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Don Benito's performance.

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Benito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.11.23	Calamonte - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Don Benito - Don Álvaro	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Racing Valverdeño - Don Benito	1:4 ✺
05.11.23	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Villafranca - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- CD Coria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.11.23	Coria - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Castuera - Coria	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Coria - Moralo	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Arroyo - Coria	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Jerez - Coria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Coria - Don Benito	0:1
09.10.22	Don Benito - Coria	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.04.22	Don Benito - Coria	3:0
05.12.21	Coria - Don Benito	1:0
Club Friendly
20.09.20	Coria - Don Benito	1:1

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