Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Villafranca		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.3	1.72
	3.86	2.93	1.91
	4.1	3.19	1.89
	3.8	3.1	1.91
	3.88	3.36	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.84)	3.18 ↓ (3.5)	1.85 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villafranca
22.6%

Draw
28.5%

Don Benito
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

26.2%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

25.7%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Benito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villafranca - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Villafranca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Don Benito is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Don Benito is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Villafranca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Villafranca	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.04.26	Santa Amalia - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Villafranca - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Gévora - Villafranca	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Villafranca - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLWW
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.04.26	Jerez - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Don Benito - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Don Benito - Azuaga	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Don Benito - Gévora	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Calamonte - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.12.25	Don Benito - Villafranca	3:0
17.03.24	Don Benito - Villafranca	0:1
29.10.23	Villafranca - Don Benito	0:1

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