The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Don Benito 62.5%
Draw 23.4%
Villafranca 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
22.7%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
22%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Don Benito - Villafranca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
Don Benito is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Villafranca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Don Benito is the clear favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Don Benito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Don Benito won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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