Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Villafranca		Gévora

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.1	2.88
	2.35	3.06	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.19)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villafranca
39.1%

Draw
29.4%

Gévora
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gévora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Villafranca - Gévora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Andrada D. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

Villafranca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gévora's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villafranca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.25	Calamonte - Villafranca	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Villafranca - Puebla de la Calzada	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Jaraíz - Villafranca	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Villafranca - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Villanovense - Villafranca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLWL
- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.25	Gévora - Don Benito	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Santa Amalia - Gévora	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gévora - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gévora - Jerez	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Calamonte - Gévora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTTTW

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