Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Don Benito		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.31	2.85	3.2
	2.41	2.81	3.36
	2.37	2.76	3.3
	2.27	2.9	3.09
	2.31	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.29)	2.83 ↓ (3.03)	3.21 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
39.3%

Draw
32.3%

Xerez CD
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Don Benito - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 1, Santisteban D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Don Benito is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xerez is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Don Benito will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.11.24	Minera - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Don Benito - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Almeria B - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Don Benito - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Don Benito - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.11.24	Xerez CD - Linense	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Minera - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Xerez CD - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.11.24	Xerez CD - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.24	San Fernando - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLL

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