Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Don Álvaro		Aceuchal

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Don Álvaro
41.3%

Draw
33.6%

Aceuchal
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

31.6%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Don Álvaro's form might have worsened.

Aceuchal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aceuchal than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aceuchal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Don Álvaro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aceuchal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Don Álvaro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.12.21	Jerez - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Don Álvaro - Arroyo	2:3 ✺
28.11.21	Don Álvaro - Moralo	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Extremadura UD B - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Don Álvaro - Badajoz B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTTL
- EMD Aceuchal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.12.21	Aceuchal - Extremadura UD B	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Badajoz B - Aceuchal	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Aceuchal - Miajadas	0:4 ✺
21.11.21	Olivenza - Aceuchal	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Aceuchal - Diocesano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTLTL

Don Álvaro - Aceuchal