Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Don Álvaro		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.1	1.41
	7.81	4.35	1.33
	7.81	4.36	1.34
	7.47	4.2	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.34 ↑ (5.63)	4.25 ↑ (3.5)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Álvaro
12.3%

Draw
21.3%

Don Benito
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

25.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

25.2%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Don Benito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Don Benito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Chit O. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.03.24	Diocesano - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Don Álvaro - Castuera	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Moralo - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Don Álvaro - Arroyo	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Olivenza - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.03.24	Don Benito - Racing Valverdeño	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Azuaga - Don Benito	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Don Benito - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Fuente de Cantos - Don Benito	0:4 ✺
03.03.24	Don Benito - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.11.23	Don Benito - Don Álvaro	3:0

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