Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 28

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Diocesano		Don Álvaro

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.4
	1.63	3.75	4.5
	1.6	3.69	4.67
	1.61	3.69	4.67
	1.59	3.84	4.85
	1.65	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	4.6 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
55.9%

Draw
24.4%

Don Álvaro
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.3%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Martin G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Diocesano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Diocesano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.03.24	Racing Valverdeño - Diocesano	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	Diocesano - Azuaga	3:3 ✺
10.03.24	Villafranca - Diocesano	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Diocesano - Fuente de Cantos	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Don Benito - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWL
- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.03.24	Don Álvaro - Castuera	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Moralo - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Don Álvaro - Arroyo	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Olivenza - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Don Álvaro - Jerez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.11.23	Don Álvaro - Diocesano	1:1
27.02.22	Don Álvaro - Diocesano	1:2
24.10.21	Diocesano - Don Álvaro	4:0

Diocesano - Don Álvaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide