Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 27

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Chertsey Town		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.3
	1.82	3.4	3.7
	1.79	3.6	3.99
	1.82	3.77	3.91	Watch
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.74	3.55	4.08
	1.93	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.01)	3.48 ↓ (3.54)	3.75 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
49.7%

Draw
26.1%

Dorchester Town
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

24.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorchester Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Parker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Abisogun G. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Abisogun G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Chertsey is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dorchester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dorchester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Chertsey will win today's game, with odds of 2.29.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chertsey won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chertsey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Bracknell Town - Chertsey Town	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Gosport Borough - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Evesham United - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTTW
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dorchester Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	0:0
15.03.25	Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town	0:1
21.09.24	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	3:1

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