Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Hendon

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.15
	2.7	3.75	2.15
	2.78	3.9	2.2
	2.73	3.6	2.21
	2.7	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.42)	3.72 ↑ (3.56)	2.17 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
33.6%

Draw
24.5%

Hendon
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

23.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorchester Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hendon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 3.

Recent matches Dorchester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hendon is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
17.02.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
06.02.24	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Didcot Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLTWT
- Hendon
English FA Trophy
20.02.24	Wealdstone - Hendon	4:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
17.02.24	Hendon - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Hendon - Tiverton Town	2:3 ✺
30.01.24	Hendon - Totton	3:3 ✺
27.01.24	Hanwell Town - Hendon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.10.23	Hendon - Dorchester Town	1:0
15.04.23	Dorchester Town - Hendon	3:2
12.11.22	Hendon - Dorchester Town	0:0
09.04.22	Dorchester Town - Hendon	3:0
21.08.21	Hendon - Dorchester Town	1:3
08.02.20	Dorchester Town - Hendon	0:3
14.09.19	Hendon - Dorchester Town	1:3

Dorchester Town - Hendon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide