Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 17

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Dorchester Town		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	1.95	3.8	3.09
	1.87	3.91	3.51	Watch
	1.9	3.62	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.73 ↑ (3.63)	3.26 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
47.6%

Draw
24.4%

Plymouth Parkway
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

24.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dorchester will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Spetch W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, Sullivan W. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Smith T. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Hall C. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 2.

Dorchester has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Plymouth Parkway is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Plymouth Parkway has had a series of home games.

Dorchester might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dover Athletic - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTTWW
- Plymouth Parkway
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Salisbury	4:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Uxbridge	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	3:3
15.02.25	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	1:2
22.10.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0
27.01.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:0
26.09.23	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	5:0
14.02.23	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	3:0
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Plymouth Parkway - Dorchester Town	2:0

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