Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Sholing

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.72
	3.52	3.74	1.74
	3.77	4.03	1.8	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.85	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (3.9)	3.74 ↓ (3.9)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
24.2%

Draw
24.1%

Sholing
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

22.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sholing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sholing than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Dorchester Town - Sholing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Magri S. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Higgs T. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 3, Magri S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 4, Roberts J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Dorchester is Relegated to

Recent form of Dorchester has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sholing has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sholing is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Sholing: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	9:12	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Hungerford Town - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Dorchester Town - Gloucester City	0:5 ✺
06.04.26	Weymouth - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Dorchester Town - Berkhamsted	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Walton & Hersham - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL
- Sholing
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Sholing - Wimborne Town	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Sholing - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Basingstoke Town - Sholing	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Sholing - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Hanwell Town - Sholing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.12.25	Sholing - Dorchester Town	2:1
25.01.25	Dorchester Town - Sholing	1:1
15.10.24	Sholing - Dorchester Town	1:5
09.04.24	Sholing - Dorchester Town	1:2
24.10.23	Dorchester Town - Sholing	1:2

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