Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.35	2.78
	2.96	3.39	2.18
	2.73	3.64	2.33	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.63
	2.21	3.42	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.33)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	2.55 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
36.9%

Draw
27.1%

Dorchester Town
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

24.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Hungerford Town - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Hungerford is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hungerford won 1.

In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hungerford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hungerford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Hungerford Town - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.65%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Dorchester Town - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Hungerford Town - Basingstoke Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Berkhamsted - Hungerford Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Hungerford Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Tiverton Town - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Hungerford Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Dorchester Town - Gloucester City	0:5 ✺
06.04.26	Weymouth - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Dorchester Town - Berkhamsted	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Walton & Hersham - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.12.25	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	2:1
26.04.25	Hungerford Town - Dorchester Town	1:2
07.12.24	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	4:2
06.01.24	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	2:4
12.09.23	Hungerford Town - Dorchester Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
24.11.18	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	1:0
English Southern Premier League
21.11.15	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	0:1

Hungerford Town - Dorchester Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide