Match Info

Sergipano - Round 4

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Dorense		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.02
	3.46	3	2.06
	7.22	4.09	1.42	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.52	3.04	2.05
	3.5	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.66)	3.17 ↓ (3.56)	1.95 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorense
22.7%

Draw
29.4%

Lagarto
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

25.5%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lagarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Dorense - Lagarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Lucas Bessa ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Erik Gabriel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
61', 1 - 2, Aldair ⚽,
74', 1 - 3, Rodriguinho ⚽,
88', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorense won 0.

Lagarto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lagarto is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dorense won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
22.01.26	Desportiva Aracaju - Dorense	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Dorense - América de Propriá	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Guarany de Porto da Folha - Dorense	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Dorense - Confiança	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Barra SE - Dorense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTLWW
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
21.01.26	Lagarto - Guarany de Porto da Folha	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Confiança - Lagarto	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Lagarto - Falcon	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.25	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
10.08.25	Lagarto - Central SC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
26.01.25	Lagarto - Dorense	1:1
03.02.24	Lagarto - Dorense	3:1
04.02.23	Lagarto - Dorense	4:1
11.01.20	Dorense - Lagarto	0:0
09.02.19	Lagarto - Dorense	0:0
21.01.17	Dorense - Lagarto	0:0

Dorense - Lagarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide