Match Info

Copa Governo - Round 3

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Lagarto		Guarany de Porto da Folha

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.28	14.16
	1.18	5.75	15.32
	1.12	6.2	14
	1.13	6.25	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.4)	6.12 ↑ (4.4)	14.62 ↑ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
79.1%

Draw
14.8%

Guarany de Porto da Folha
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lagarto's performance.

Guarany de Porto da Folha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarany de Porto da Folha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lagarto - Guarany de Porto da Folha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In recent matches, Lagarto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Lagarto is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lagarto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Copa Governo Sergipe
01.08.26	Lagarto - Falcon	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	América de Propriá - Lagarto	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.26	CS Alagoano - Lagarto	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Lagarto - Decisão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTW
- Guarany de Porto da Folha
Brazilian Copa Governo Sergipe
01.08.26	Guarany de Porto da Folha - Atlético Gloriense	1:1 ✺
29.07.26	Falcon - Guarany de Porto da Folha	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
21.02.26	Confiança - Guarany de Porto da Folha	1:0 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Itabaiana - Guarany de Porto da Folha	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Guarany de Porto da Folha - Falcon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
21.01.26	Lagarto - Guarany de Porto da Folha	2:0
18.01.25	Lagarto - Guarany de Porto da Folha	4:0
23.02.19	Guarany de Porto da Folha - Lagarto	2:2

Lagarto - Guarany de Porto da Folha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide