Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Paulo Barreto de Menezes (Lagarto)


	Lagarto		Central SC

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.65	3.2
	2.1	2.62	3.9
	2.45	2.46	3.7
	2.46	2.62	3.42	Watch
	2.16	2.81	3.58
	2.17	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.98)	2.72 ↓ (3.04)	3.48 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
40.2%

Draw
33.6%

Central SC
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

31.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagarto's form might have worsened.

Central SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lagarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Lagarto - Central SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central PE will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Felipe ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
78', 1 - 1, Paulo L. ⚽,
83', Felipe 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 1, Rhuan P. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, Hitalo ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Lagarto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Central PE is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lagarto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagarto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
03.08.25	Central SC - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	União Carmolandense - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Lagarto - Barcelona de Ilhéus	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Sergipe - Lagarto	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Lagarto - Penedense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW
- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
03.08.25	Central SC - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Central SC	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Central SC - Sousa	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	América RN - Central SC	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Central SC - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.08.25	Central SC - Lagarto	1:0

Lagarto - Central SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide