The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dorking Wanderers 47.6%
Draw 24.3%
Chelmsford City 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
26.7%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
26.1%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorking Wanderers's performance.
Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorking Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Dorking will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
1', 1 - 0, Nikaj G. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Barbrook H. ⚽,
14', 2 - 1, Barrett J. ⚽,
19', 2 - 2, Alexander G. ⚽,
33', 2 - 3, May A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 3 - 3, Wood J. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
Dorking is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chelmsford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Dorking could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Chelmsford: 5.21%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Dorking
10
4
4
2
22:16
6
16
16
Chelmsford
9
1
8
0
9:8
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Chelmsford City - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.56%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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