Match Info

National League South - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.85
	2.12	3.35	2.85
	2.16	3.90	3.01
	2.11	3.9	2.94	Watch
	2.08	3.90	2.90
	2.15	3.78	2.94
	2.14	3.50	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 (2.12)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
43.5%

Draw
24.9%

Truro City
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Dorking Wanderers - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Francomb G. ⚽,

Preview

Dorking has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Truro is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Dorking has had a series of away games.

Dorking is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dorking won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Truro: 6.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Truro	10	5	3	2	15:7	8	18
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16

Last Results with these Odds

Dorking Wanderers - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Truro City - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.42%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
29.08.26	Walton & Hersham - Dorking Wanderers	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	2:3 ✺
18.08.26	Totton - Dorking Wanderers	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Bracknell Town - Dorking Wanderers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTL
- Truro City
English National League South
29.08.26	Truro City - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Truro City - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
English National League South
15.08.26	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Truro City - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.11.24	Dorking Wanderers - Truro City	0:0
10.08.24	Truro City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2

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