Match Info

National League South - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	4.25
	1.7	4.05	4.33
	2.06	2.73	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.88	4.11
	1.95	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	4.09 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
51.4%

Draw
25.8%

Dagenham & Redbridge
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

23.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Dorking Wanderers - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Dorking is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dagenham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dorking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dorking is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Wingate & Finchley	7:2 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Totton	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Bedford Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Worthing	2:5 ✺
02.09.25	Dover Athletic - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dorking Wanderers	2:1
04.11.23	Dorking Wanderers - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:3
01.04.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dorking Wanderers	0:2
01.10.22	Dorking Wanderers - Dagenham & Redbridge	5:1

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