Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Hornchurch		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.38	3.45	2.62
	2.46	3.85	2.5
	2.96	3.00	2.48	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.75
	2.39	3.38	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.99)	3.36 ↓ (3.54)	2.58 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
36.8%

Draw
27.4%

Dorking Wanderers
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hornchurch's form might have worsened.

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorking Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Dorking will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorking (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dorking (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dorking (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorking (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Scannell S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 9).

Hornchurch has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dorking's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
30.08.25	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Salisbury - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hornchurch - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
30.08.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.01.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	0:1
05.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	3:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.01.19	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
15.09.18	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	3:3

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