Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Miguel Morales (Pergamino)


	Douglas Haig		Ben Hur

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	6
	1.6	3.2	5.7
	1.64	3.1	6.01
				Watch
	1.63	3.22	5.7
	1.45	4	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	3.48 ↓ (4)	5.93 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
58.5%

Draw
26.1%

Ben Hur
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

22%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Ben Hur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douglas Haig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Douglas Haig - Ben Hur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Douglas Haig (1.99) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Douglas Haig (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ben Hur (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacher E. (G) 4. Bazzana N. 2. Bianchi B. 8. Castellano J. 3. Cuello L. 5. Gomez M. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gutierrez S. 7. Magnago B. 11. Petino J. 6. Pezzi A.	1. Astrada M. (G) 3. Alemandi M. 8. Bessone J. 2. Cura L. 7. Fernandez E. 11. Giacone J. 10. Jimenez S. 6. Jofre F. 5. Sola L. 4. Urquia L. 9. Velazquez K.
Substitutes
17. Bogado E. 16. Caballuci R. 12. Carrera J. (G) 18. Jara A. 13. Mauri M. 14. Ojeda L. 15. Tus E.	14. Benito J. 18. Caballero F. 16. Doello L. 15. Garcia F. 12. Gonzalez G. (G) 17. Jara G. 13. Rouzies M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Giacone J. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
10', 2 - 1, Gutierrez S. ⚽,
30', 2 - 2, Giacone J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', Cuello L. 🟨,
84', Jofre F. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ben Hur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Douglas Haig is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Douglas Haig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.06.25	Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWTW
- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.06.25	Ben Hur - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Ben Hur	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Ben Hur - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	El Linqueño - Ben Hur	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.05.25	Ben Hur - Douglas Haig	3:2

Douglas Haig - Ben Hur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide