Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 12

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Barrio Ilolay (Rafaela)


	Ben Hur		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.75	2.95
	2.55	2.85	2.85
	2.47	2.83	2.98
	2.52	2.92	3.07	Watch
	2.4	2.85	3.02
	2.55	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.3)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Hur
36.9%

Draw
32.2%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

31.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

31.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Hur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Albornoz C. H. 3. Alemandi M. 8. Bessone J. 2. Cura L. 10. Fernandez E. 7. Giacone J. 11. Jimenez S. 6. Sola L. 4. Urquia L. 9. Velazquez K.	1. Palleres T. (G) 2. Fiol F. 3. Gallo M. 7. Gomez N. 10. Gutierrez M. 5. Martinez G. 8. Peresutti G. 6. Robatto V. 11. Salvaggio M. (C) 4. Samaniego L. 9. Sosa G.
Substitutes
. Alberto J. 14. Bircher J. 18. Comba G. 13. Contrera R. 16. Fernandez K. 15. Quinteros D. 12. Rivadeneira F. (G)	17. Almada L. 16. Caseres F. 13. Guglielmo A. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 14. Medina R. 15. Millan J. 18. Pena D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Velazquez K. 🟨,
40', Salvaggio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Gutierrez M. ↓, Caseres F. ↑,
63', Gomez N. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
69', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
84', Fernandez E. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ben Hur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.05.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Ben Hur	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ben Hur - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	9 de Julio - Ben Hur	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ben Hur - Douglas Haig	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ben Hur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Ben Hur	2:1

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