Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 14

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Parque Barrio Ilolay (Rafaela)


	Ben Hur		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	1.95	2.77	4.37
				Watch
	2.03	3.11	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.23)	2.92 (2.92)	3.84 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Hur
44.8%

Draw
31.4%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

31.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Hur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Hur than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+4%)

Ben Hur - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Albornoz C. H. 3. Alemandi M. 4. Benito J. 8. Bessone J. 2. Cura L. 10. Fernandez E. 9. Giacone J. 11. Jimenez S. 6. Sola L. 7. Urquia L.	1. Alcorcel A. (G) 5. Camano J. 8. Cartechini J. 6. Gay F. 2. Hertel L. 7. Jofre L. 3. Monzon L. 4. Nunez L. 9. Olego F. 11. Perez L. 10. Principiano L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Alemandi M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Caballero F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Bessone J. ⚽,
52', Gay F. 🟨,
52', Olego F. 🟨,
54', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
62', Cartechini J. ↓, De Gaetani A. ↑,
62', Principiano L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
72', Fernandez E. ↓, Quinteros D. ↑,
79', Perez L. ↓, Abaca J. ↑,
79', Camano J. ↓, Olego M. ↑,
81', Bessone J. ↓, Jofre F. ↑,
81', Giacone J. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Ben Hur has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Def Belgrano VR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ben Hur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Def Belgrano VR has had a series of home games.

Ben Hur could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ben Hur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ben Hur
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.06.25	El Linqueño - Ben Hur	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Ben Hur - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
26.05.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Ben Hur	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ben Hur - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	9 de Julio - Ben Hur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTL
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:0

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