Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Douglas Haig		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.87
				Watch
	2.46	2.99	3.03
	2.46	2.99	3.03
	2.3	2.88	2.9
	2.42	2.75	3.08
	2.31	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.13)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	2.99 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
38.4%

Draw
31.2%

Ciudad de Bolívar
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

30.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Douglas Haig's form might have worsened.

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ciudad de Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douglas Haig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ciudad de Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Douglas Haig - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Douglas Haig have a series of home games.

Douglas Haig will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Douglas Haig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.11.23	Douglas Haig - Central Norte	5:0 ✺
05.11.23	Douglas Haig - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Douglas Haig	4:0 ✺
08.10.23	Douglas Haig - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTLW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.11.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sol de América de Formosa	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
13.10.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Huracán Las Heras - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.10.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Douglas Haig	2:0

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