Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Douglas Haig		Germinal

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.23	2.89	3.4
				Watch
	2.19	2.96	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.62)	2.93 ↓ (3.6)	3.4 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
42.4%

Draw
30.9%

Germinal
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

24.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Douglas Haig's form might have worsened.

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Germinal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douglas Haig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Germinal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Douglas Haig - Germinal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Tuset M. ⚽,
65', Rios R. 🟥,
82', 1 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.09.24	Douglas Haig - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:3 ✺
24.08.24	Unión de Sunchales - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Douglas Haig - Crucero del Norte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWTW
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.24	Germinal - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Germinal	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Germinal - Deportivo Camioneros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLW

Douglas Haig - Germinal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide