Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Bahía Blanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Villa Mitre		Germinal

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.60	7.75
	1.36	3.95	8.50	Watch
	1.43	3.49	8.56
	1.46	3.60	9.58	Watch
	1.44	3.30	9.00
	1.40	3.83	10.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	3.63 ↓ (3.8)	9 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
64.6%

Draw
25.2%

Germinal
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Villa Mitre - Germinal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 3. Bacigalupe S. 5. Cavagnero N. 10. Gonzalez E. 8. Monti L. 7. Mujica P. 11. Paez M. 4. Perez T. 6. Segalerba G. 9. Tarasco R.	1. Molini L. (G) 7. Carcamo F. 9. De Hoyos D. 3. Moreno A. 5. Moron G. 8. Navarro G. 2. Rios N. 10. Rojas J. 6. Sveruk L. 11. Velazquez J. 4. Yocco L.
Substitutes
12. Alcaraz M. (G) 15. Avit D. 17. Ayala V. 18. Gomez S. 20. Ibarra T. 13. Olguin U. 14. Silva H. 19. Tunessi M. 16. Valeri V.	18. Gonzalez A. 12. Grigera F. (G) 15. Lencina K. 14. Lires M. 20. Martinez Y. 17. Nunez G. 13. Silva J. 19. Soto O. 16. Veloso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Germinal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villa Mitre is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.3:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 2.2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Villa Mitre - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWLT
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.06.26	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.04.26	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0
24.05.25	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:1
23.03.25	Villa Mitre - Germinal	2:0
25.08.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	1:0
02.06.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	2:0
07.04.24	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0
24.09.23	Villa Mitre - Germinal	3:0

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