Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	7.5	5	1.4
	6	4.4	1.44
	5.8	4.5	1.42
	6.4	4.5	1.4
	6.59	4.8	1.45
	5.8	4	1.47
	7.4	4.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↑ (5.5)	4.57 ↑ (4.17)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
14.3%

Draw
20.4%

Chesterfield
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

22.1%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

18.3%

73.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dover Athletic - Chesterfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Dover is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesterfield is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dover won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League
04.09.21	Altrincham - Dover Athletic	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Dover Athletic - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Maidenhead United - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Dover Athletic - Watford	4:1 ✺
26.07.21	K Sports - Dover Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWW
- Chesterfield
English National League
04.09.21	Chesterfield - Bromley	2:2 ✺
30.08.21	King`s Lynn Town - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
28.08.21	Chesterfield - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Chesterfield - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.03.20	Dover Athletic - Chesterfield	1:1
03.08.19	Chesterfield - Dover Athletic	1:2
06.04.19	Dover Athletic - Chesterfield	0:0
08.09.18	Chesterfield - Dover Athletic	0:0

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