Match Info

League Two - Round 40

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)


	Chesterfield		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.72
	2.58	3.42	2.75
	2.54	3.36	2.64	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.7
	2.57	3.22	2.71	Watch
	2.24	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.24)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
37.4%

Draw
28.3%

Grimsby Town
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Chesterfield - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 29. Curtis S. 6. McFadzean K. 26. Swinkels S. 19. Gordon L. 36. Braybrooke S. 8. Stirk R. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. (C) 17. Dobra A. 10. Bonis L.	31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 15. Turi G. D. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 29. Oduor C. 9. Kabia J. 39. Cook A.
Substitutes
28. Berry-McNally J. 44. Donacien J. 11. Duffy D. 13. Fleck J. 1. Hemming Z. (G) 24. Markanday D. 2. Owolabi-Belewu M.	14. Amaluzor J. 1. Pym C. (G) 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 11. Svanthorsson J. 30. Vernam C. 7. Walker J. 21. Warren T.
Coaches
Cook P.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Mandeville L. ⚽, Gordon L. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽, Braybrooke S. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Cook A. 🟨,
55', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
59', Dobra A. 🟨,
63', Turi G. D. 🟨,
68', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
68', Oduor C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
73', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
74', Gordon L. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
78', Kabia J. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
82', Staunton R. 🟨,
90+1', Naylor T. 🟨,
90+4', Stirk R. 🟨,
90+5', Staunton R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Postponed due to international match.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.

Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grimsby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Chesterfield: 9.07% Grimsby: 4.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chesterfield	10	4	3	3	17:14	3	15
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Chesterfield - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.45%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
11.04.26	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Barrow - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWWL
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
11.04.26	Grimsby Town - Crewe Alexandra	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Crawley Town - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Grimsby Town - Barrow	5:0 ✺
17.03.26	Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
15.11.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1
18.01.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	1:1
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Chesterfield - Grimsby Town	3:2
English League Two
07.09.24	Chesterfield - Grimsby Town	2:1
English National League
02.04.22	Chesterfield - Grimsby Town	1:4
11.12.21	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Chesterfield - Grimsby Town	2:1

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