Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)


	Chesterfield		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9
	1.3	5.5	8
	1.33	5.84	7.68
	1.3	4.75	7
	1.31	5.35	7.6
	1.31	5.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	5.31 ↑ (4.33)	7.78 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
70.6%

Draw
17.5%

Wealdstone
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

21.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20.8%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Chesterfield - Wealdstone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 16. Freckleton M. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. (C) 10. Jacobs M. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 7. Mandeville L. 12. Williams T.	13. Ward J. (G) 11. Andrews C. 3. Barker C. 22. Bowen S. 4. Charles A. 19. Clayden C. 2. Cook J. (C) 8. Ferguson N. 23. Mundle-Smith J. J. 14. Obiero M. 18. Smith K.
Substitutes
11. Colclough R. 17. Dobra A. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A. 27. Quigley J.	20. Abdulmalik A. 27. Adarkwa S. 6. Barrett M. 5. Dyer A. 10. Kretzschmar M.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3.

Chesterfield in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wealdstone is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Chesterfield is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chesterfield to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
19.09.23	Chesterfield - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ebbsfleet United - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Chesterfield - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	3:4 ✺
28.08.23	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Wealdstone
English National League
19.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Wealdstone - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Wealdstone - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Wealdstone - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.03.23	Wealdstone - Chesterfield	0:4
21.02.23	Chesterfield - Wealdstone	1:1
09.04.22	Wealdstone - Chesterfield	1:2
28.08.21	Chesterfield - Wealdstone	2:0
15.05.21	Chesterfield - Wealdstone	0:0
20.10.20	Wealdstone - Chesterfield	3:2

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