Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)


	Aldershot Town		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.67
	3.95	3.75	1.75
	4.32	4.17	1.74
	4	3.6	1.67
	4.25	4.05	1.69
	4.1	3.9	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.21)	3.88 ↑ (3.72)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
22.4%

Draw
23.7%

Chesterfield
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

24.7%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.4%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aldershot Town - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aldershot will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bycroft J. (G) 22. Barham J. 8. Frost T. 11. Glover R. 3. Harfield O. 4. Harries C. 17. Jones A. (C) 2. Mnoga H. 24. Mullins M. 10. Stokes J. 9. Tolaj L.	1. Tyrer H. (G) 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 10. Jacobs M. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 21. Palmer A.
Substitutes
21. Burnett E. 18. Scott O. 39. Thomas K. 6. Widdrington T. 27. Willard T.	18. Berry-McNally J. 17. Dobra A. 16. Freckleton M. 26. Oldaker D. 27. Quigley J.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 0.

Aldershot is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesterfield is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 0 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
28.08.23	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
19.08.23	Aldershot Town - York City	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Ebbsfleet United - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Oldham Athletic - Aldershot Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL
- Chesterfield
English National League
28.08.23	Chesterfield - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Altrincham - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Oxford City - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Fylde - Chesterfield	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.02.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	1:1
13.08.22	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	1:0
22.01.22	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	0:0
21.08.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	0:2
23.03.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	0:1
English FA Trophy
06.02.21	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	Aldershot walkover
English National League
01.12.20	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	0:0

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