Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Dragones Toluca		Cañoneros Marina

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.8	3.35
	1.85	3.98	3.37	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.84	3.94	3.68
	1.93	3.5	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.97)	3.76 ↑ (3.7)	3.41 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dragones Toluca
49.3%

Draw
24.1%

Cañoneros Marina
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

24.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dragones Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cañoneros Marina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dragones Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañoneros Marina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Dragones Toluca - Cañoneros Marina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 13).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Dragones Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dragones Toluca could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dragones Toluca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragones Toluca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeses - Dragones Toluca	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dragones Toluca - Inter Playa Del Carmen	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Héroes de Zaci - Dragones Toluca	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLLTW
- Cañoneros Marina
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún	3:2 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Montañeses	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Celaya - Cañoneros Marina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.10.25	Cañoneros Marina - Dragones Toluca	1:0

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